Elon108vsUNC Wilmington115
Feb 12 · 7:00 PM · · Trask Coliseum

Model picks UNC Wilmington -6.7 · O/U 223.4

Model
UNC Wilmington -6.7
Elon +6.7
73% confidence
Vegas
UNC Wilmington -8.0
Elon +8.0
1.3 pts edge
O/U
223.4
Vegas 151.0
Model Analysis

The model projects UNC Wilmington by 6.7 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: efficiency margin. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorEfficiency MarginDefensive EfficiencyNet Rank
ElonStat ComparisonUNC Wilmington
Adj. Off. Efficiency
113.0#251
111.0#320
Adj. Def. Efficiency
117.1#904
108.5#522
Tempo
67.3#525
64.8#870
eFG%
54.3#153
50.9#511
Turnover Rate
15.9#264
14.9#117
Off. Reb. Rate
33.5#221
35.1#137
FT Rate
34.4#511
43.3#63
3PT Rate
0.4#108
0.4#198