UIC110vsDrake107
Feb 12 · 7:30 PM · · Knapp Center

Model picks Drake -3.2 · O/U 216.9

Model
UIC -3.2
Drake +3.2
56% confidence
Vegas
Drake -1.0
UIC +1.0
2.2 pts edge
O/U
216.9
Vegas 146.5
Model Analysis

The model projects UIC by 3.2 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: defensive efficiency. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorDefensive EfficiencyEfficiency MarginDef Efg
UICStat ComparisonDrake
Adj. Off. Efficiency
107.7#490
109.3#385
Adj. Def. Efficiency
103.9#273
113.3#784
Tempo
66.2#690
67.2#546
eFG%
47.9#844
51.9#386
Turnover Rate
18.1#671
14.3#68
Off. Reb. Rate
36.8#52
26.7#814
FT Rate
38.9#212
35.0#482
3PT Rate
0.3#291
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