Marist104vsMerrimack104
Feb 12 · 7:00 PM · · Lawler Arena

Model picks Merrimack in a toss-up · O/U 206.9

Model
PK
52% confidence
Vegas
Merrimack -2.5
Marist +2.5
2.5 pts edge
O/U
206.9
Vegas 128.5
Model Analysis

The model projects Marist by 0.0 points. Key edge: strength of schedule. Also notable: defensive efficiency. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Strength of ScheduleDefensive EfficiencyNet RankScoring Trend
MaristStat ComparisonMerrimack
Adj. Off. Efficiency
100.2#840
106.2#561
Adj. Def. Efficiency
99.7#140
106.1#395
Tempo
66.1#709
63.9#934
eFG%
50.7#536
49.3#725
Turnover Rate
17.1#490
15.6#219
Off. Reb. Rate
28.0#710
25.4#897
FT Rate
26.3#968
39.2#195
3PT Rate
—#248
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