Coastal102vsLouisiana101
Feb 12 · 8:00 PM · · Cajundome

Model picks Coastal -1.0 · O/U 203.2

Model
Coastal -1.0
Louisiana +1.0
71% confidence
Vegas
Coastal -1.0
Louisiana +1.0
O/U
203.2
Vegas 131.0
Model Analysis

The model projects Coastal by 1.0 points. Key edge: efficiency margin. Also notable: luck factor. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Efficiency MarginLuck FactorDefensive EfficiencyDefensive FT Rate
CoastalStat ComparisonLouisiana
Adj. Off. Efficiency
102.5#744
101.2#798
Adj. Def. Efficiency
108.1#498
111.6#707
Tempo
67.0#567
62.5#990
eFG%
48.1#828
48.2#817
Turnover Rate
15.1#138
18.1#670
Off. Reb. Rate
26.3#841
28.1#703
FT Rate
30.5#797
26.5#956
3PT Rate
0.4#113
0.4#101