Little Rock101vsW Illinois93
Feb 12 · 8:30 PM · · Western Hall

Model picks Little Rock -8.5 · O/U 194.1

Model
Little Rock -8.5
W Illinois +8.5
87% confidence
Vegas
Little Rock -7.5
W Illinois +7.5
1.0 pts edge
O/U
194.1
Vegas 141.0
Model Analysis

The model projects Little Rock by 8.5 points. Key edge: efficiency margin. Also notable: style contrast. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Efficiency MarginStyle ContrastDefensive EfficiencyLuck Factor
Little RockStat ComparisonW Illinois
Adj. Off. Efficiency
100.3#837
93.3#983
Adj. Def. Efficiency
116.5#896
121.5#979
Tempo
66.0#713
66.1#693
eFG%
49.3#728
43.9#993
Turnover Rate
19.4#855
17.6#599
Off. Reb. Rate
31.5#405
28.7#656
FT Rate
27.3#931
38.7#222
3PT Rate
—#326
—#294