Evansville97vsS Illinois106
Feb 12 · 8:00 PM · · Banterra Center

Model picks S Illinois -9.5 · O/U 203.2

Model
S Illinois -9.5
Evansville +9.5
83% confidence
Vegas
S Illinois -11.5
Evansville +11.5
2.0 pts edge
O/U
203.2
Vegas 142.0
Model Analysis

The model projects S Illinois by 9.5 points. Key edge: efficiency margin. Also notable: luck factor. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Efficiency MarginLuck FactorDefensive Efficiency3PT Shooting
EvansvilleStat ComparisonS Illinois
Adj. Off. Efficiency
100.8#819
102.9#728
Adj. Def. Efficiency
110.8#662
100.7#157
Tempo
67.3#540
69.7#195
eFG%
49.0#749
49.8#642
Turnover Rate
19.3#844
17.3#523
Off. Reb. Rate
23.2#946
29.9#554
FT Rate
32.5#646
34.7#491
3PT Rate
0.4#135
0.3#344