UC Davis105vsUC San Diego111
Feb 12 · 10:00 PM · · LionTree Arena

Model picks UC San Diego -5.9 · O/U 215.9

Model
UC San Diego -5.9
UC Davis +5.9
62% confidence
Vegas
UC San Diego -6.0
UC Davis +6.0
0.1 pts edge
O/U
215.9
Vegas 150.5
Model Analysis

The model projects UC San Diego by 5.9 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: defensive efficiency. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorDefensive EfficiencyStrength of ScheduleOffensive Efficiency
UC DavisStat ComparisonUC San Diego
Adj. Off. Efficiency
109.1#409
106.8#515
Adj. Def. Efficiency
109.0#572
104.2#305
Tempo
68.9#286
67.8#448
eFG%
53.1#252
52.8#274
Turnover Rate
18.3#703
16.2#318
Off. Reb. Rate
27.1#779
26.7#812
FT Rate
41.7#108
31.7#695
3PT Rate
0.4#103
—#99