Memphis104vsNorth Texas103
Feb 12 · 9:00 PM · · The Super Pit

Model picks North Texas -1.0 · O/U 206.5

Model
Memphis -1.0
North Texas +1.0
60% confidence
Vegas
Memphis -1.5
North Texas +1.5
0.5 pts edge
O/U
206.5
Vegas 137.0
Model Analysis

The model projects Memphis by 1.0 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: efficiency margin. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorEfficiency MarginDefensive EfficiencyDefensive FT Rate
MemphisStat ComparisonNorth Texas
Adj. Off. Efficiency
106.3#565
100.2#843
Adj. Def. Efficiency
97.8#93
99.7#141
Tempo
69.7#190
65.0#841
eFG%
49.5#686
46.1#933
Turnover Rate
19.8#904
18.1#669
Off. Reb. Rate
35.5#110
34.0#185
FT Rate
33.7#566
38.0#260
3PT Rate
0.4#252
—#298