N Kentucky109vsIU Indy104
Feb 12 · 6:30 PM · · The Jungle

Model picks N Kentucky -4.7 · O/U 213.5

Model
N Kentucky -4.7
IU Indy +4.7
77% confidence
Vegas
—
O/U
213.5
Model Analysis

The model projects N Kentucky by 4.7 points. Key edge: efficiency margin. Also notable: luck factor.

Efficiency MarginLuck FactorDefensive EfficiencyEffective FG%
N KentuckyStat ComparisonIU Indy
Adj. Off. Efficiency
107.3#501
106.2#559
Adj. Def. Efficiency
109.9#609
116.7#901
Tempo
69.6#201
74.2#6
eFG%
52.6#308
51.8#400
Turnover Rate
16.3#355
15.7#234
Off. Reb. Rate
31.6#386
28.5#670
FT Rate
34.5#506
21.9#1000
3PT Rate
0.5#61
—#118