Northern Iowa110vsBelmont114
Feb 12 · 9:00 PM · · Curb Event Center Arena

Model picks Belmont -4.7 · O/U 223.9

Model
Belmont -4.7
Northern Iowa +4.7
85% confidence
Vegas
Belmont -4.0
Northern Iowa +4.0
0.7 pts edge
O/U
223.9
Vegas 138.5
Model Analysis

The model projects Belmont by 4.7 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: defensive efficiency. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorDefensive EfficiencyEfficiency MarginOffensive Efficiency
Northern IowaStat ComparisonBelmont
Adj. Off. Efficiency
104.5#638
119.4#108
Adj. Def. Efficiency
95.7#56
107.7#474
Tempo
61.8#997
68.7#316
eFG%
51.7#428
60.8#4
Turnover Rate
14.6#97
18.8#786
Off. Reb. Rate
21.8#973
29.9#551
FT Rate
25.2#982
34.1#535
3PT Rate
—#184
0.4#75