UNC Asheville103vsLongwood103
Feb 12 · 7:00 PM · · Joan Perry Brock Center

Model picks Longwood in a toss-up · O/U 205.8

Model
Longwood -0.9
UNC Asheville +0.9
70% confidence
Vegas
Longwood -2.0
UNC Asheville +2.0
1.1 pts edge
O/U
205.8
Vegas 141.5
Model Analysis

The model projects Longwood by 0.9 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: efficiency margin. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorEfficiency MarginStyle ContrastDefensive Efficiency
UNC AshevilleStat ComparisonLongwood
Adj. Off. Efficiency
104.1#670
101.7#773
Adj. Def. Efficiency
110.3#632
110.9#676
Tempo
65.3#798
68.3#366
eFG%
51.7#416
49.8#650
Turnover Rate
18.0#653
19.7#895
Off. Reb. Rate
29.4#596
33.5#223
FT Rate
40.7#141
40.6#145
3PT Rate
0.3#287
—#246