UMBC101vsMaine96
Feb 12 · 6:00 PM · · Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium

Model picks UMBC -5.6 · O/U 196.7

Model
UMBC -5.6
Maine +5.6
77% confidence
Vegas
UMBC -4.5
Maine +4.5
1.1 pts edge
O/U
196.7
Vegas 135.5
Model Analysis

The model projects UMBC by 5.6 points. Key edge: efficiency margin. Also notable: luck factor. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Efficiency MarginLuck FactorOffensive EfficiencyStyle Contrast
UMBCStat ComparisonMaine
Adj. Off. Efficiency
103.7#681
93.0#993
Adj. Def. Efficiency
112.1#741
112.5#754
Tempo
65.8#736
64.7#883
eFG%
53.1#255
49.5#685
Turnover Rate
15.0#131
19.6#877
Off. Reb. Rate
23.1#948
21.1#984
FT Rate
33.5#584
37.2#309
3PT Rate
—#183
0.4#243