Purdue FW106vsGreen Bay112
Feb 12 · 7:00 PM · · Resch Center

Model picks Purdue FW -5.4 · O/U 218.0

Model
Green Bay -5.4
Purdue FW +5.4
55% confidence
Vegas
PK
5.4 pts edge
O/U
218.0
Vegas 144.5
Model Analysis

The model projects Green Bay by 5.4 points. Key edge: luck factor. Also notable: defensive efficiency. This is flagged as a VALUE pick — the model sees more edge than Vegas.

Luck FactorDefensive EfficiencyStyle ContrastNet Rank
Purdue FWStat ComparisonGreen Bay
Adj. Off. Efficiency
105.3#612
112.2#274
Adj. Def. Efficiency
112.4#743
115.0#854
Tempo
67.9#428
63.3#971
eFG%
52.5#317
54.4#146
Turnover Rate
14.2#62
16.5#396
Off. Reb. Rate
21.7#975
26.1#859
FT Rate
27.7#918
42.7#82
3PT Rate
#200